3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,679 sqft ·
Built 2010
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 210 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,079/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$308
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$437
Net cashflow
$49/mo
Annual
$587/yr
Cap rate
6.53%
Cash-on-cash
0.86%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $49 ($587/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (15.2% below list).
It's been on market 210 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $208k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#64 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
Zachary Community School District (suburban): math 46% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #8 of 98 in LA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Rollins Place Elementary (847 students, 60% FRL); Northwestern Middle School (math 41% / reading 68%, grade B-, #17 of 218 statewide, top 8%, 912 students, 56% FRL); Zachary High School (math 56% / reading 68%, grade B-, #15 of 265 statewide, top 6%, 1,765 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 38% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 586 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.6% in Zachary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 210 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NBZ58AD5HNZQ8X
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29