410 S Walnut St

Sesser, IL 62884

$59,000A-

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,020 sqft · Built — · SingleFamily · Pending · 23 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $965/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$309
• Tax + insurance: −$98
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$203
• Net cashflow: $354/mo
• Annual: $4,251/yr
• Cap rate: 13.50%
• Cash-on-cash: 25.73%
• DSCR: 2.15
• 1% rule: 1.63%
• Cash to close: $16,520

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $354 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($965 rent vs $59k).
• It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $58k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#722 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
• Sesser-Valier CUSD 196 (rural): math 21% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #389 of 620 in IL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Franklin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.