6 bd · 5.0 ba ·
2,848 sqft ·
Built 2022
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 138 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,430/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,753
Tax + insurance
−$875
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$930
Net cashflow
$-128/mo
Annual
$-1,541/yr
Cap rate
6.00%
Cash-on-cash
-1.05%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$147,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $525k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-128 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-64/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $506k (3.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $443k (15.6% below list).
It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($462k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $443k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $56k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $52k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 315 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$90k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,430/mo this rent would consume 142% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1446% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-NCQH7GEHCKKM08
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29