3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,396 sqft ·
Built 1925
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,263/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$148
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$265
Net cashflow
$116/mo
Annual
$1,387/yr
Cap rate
7.28%
Cash-on-cash
3.54%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (9.7% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $126k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#120 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
Kenmare 28 (rural): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #89 of 169 in ND (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 123 units permitted in Ward County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ward County population projected at +76% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NCQX6Q89T8E2BC
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29