20 bd · 16.0 ba ·
9,728 sqft ·
Built 1966
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$28,768/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$15,182
Tax + insurance
−$4,990
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$6,041
Net cashflow
$2,555/mo
Annual
$30,658/yr
Cap rate
7.35%
Cash-on-cash
3.78%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$810,600
Investor read
This is a 4×2bd/2.0ba + 4×3bd/2.0ba units multifamily listed at $2.90M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($31k/yr) — positive. Per door: $319/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $2.88M (0.6% below list).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($2.81M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $2.81M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $20k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $87k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 88 active listings in the ZIP; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $850k; list at $2.90M implies a 241% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $28,768/mo this rent would consume 562% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 4038% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ND4C9Z69VWATR1
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29