535 W Gypsy Lane Rd #221

Bowling Green, OH 43402

$62,500B

4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,240 sqft · Built 2001 · Manufactured · Pending · 70 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,545/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$328
• Tax + insurance: −$104
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$324
• Net cashflow: $788/mo
• Annual: $9,461/yr
• Cap rate: 21.43%
• Cash-on-cash: 54.06%
• DSCR: 3.41
• 1% rule: 2.47%
• Cash to close: $17,500

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath manufactured listed at $62k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $788 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $62k).
• It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $59k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $432 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 90/100 on livability (#8 in OH, #71 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: employment F.
• Bowling Green City School District (town): math 40% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #469 of 656 in OH (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Kenwood Elementary School (math 52% / reading 67%, grade B-, #670 of 1,584 statewide, top 45%, 274 students, 43% FRL); Bowling Green Middle School (math 41% / reading 53%, grade D+, #451 of 654 statewide, top 70%, 630 students, 32% FRL); Bowling Green High School (math 29% / reading 65%, grade D-, #435 of 781 statewide, top 59%, 807 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools at 33% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 493 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Wood County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 2.6% in Bowling Green — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.