4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,690 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 154 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,240/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$314
Tax + insurance
−$119
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$260
Net cashflow
$546/mo
Annual
$6,554/yr
Cap rate
17.23%
Cash-on-cash
39.08%
DSCR
2.74
1% rule
2.07%
Cash to close
$16,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $546 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-0.7%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $435 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#103 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Wilson (rural): math 20% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #437 of 513 in OK (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Wilson Es (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #604 of 845 statewide, top 76%, 317 students, 0% FRL); Wilson Hs (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #274 of 447 statewide, top 66%, 156 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 65% district-wide (65 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Carter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Carter County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-0.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NDW72N13X2R15F
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29