5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,241 sqft ·
Built 1888
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 209 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,450/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,146
Tax + insurance
−$1,591
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,354
Net cashflow
$359/mo
Annual
$4,305/yr
Cap rate
7.01%
Cash-on-cash
2.56%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$167,972
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $600k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $359 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $120/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $600k).
It's been on market 209 days — a 12% lower offer ($528k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $528k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#74 in NY, #1,143 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+.
Kingston City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #355 of 590 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1888 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 464 units permitted in Ulster County in 2024 (170 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ulster County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
10 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $274k; list at $600k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $168k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.0% in Kingston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,450/mo this rent would consume 112% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 2045% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 209 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1888 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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