448 bd · 256.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1964
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$22,443/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$12,035
Tax + insurance
−$3,825
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$4,713
Net cashflow
$1,870/mo
Annual
$22,437/yr
Cap rate
7.27%
Cash-on-cash
3.49%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$642,600
Investor read
This is a 12×2bd/1ba + 4×1bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $2.29M. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive. Per door: $117/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $2.24M (2.2% below list).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($2.23M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $2.23M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $16k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $69k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#108 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing B+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D+, amenities D.
Central SD 13J (town): math 26% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #149 of 183 in OR (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 177 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Polk County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $1.90M; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.6% in Monmouth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $22,443/mo this rent would consume 387% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 412% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29