3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,012 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 150 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,016/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$168
Tax + insurance
−$95
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$213
Net cashflow
$540/mo
Annual
$6,481/yr
Cap rate
26.55%
Cash-on-cash
72.34%
DSCR
4.22
1% rule
3.18%
Cash to close
$8,960
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $32k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $540 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $28k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($221 loan paydown + $960 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#495 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
Nashwauk-Keewatin School District (rural): math 32% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #253 of 301 in MN (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 7 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Itasca County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Itasca County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29