4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
994 sqft ·
Built 1885
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 107 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,517/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$310
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$319
Net cashflow
$-54/mo
Annual
$-652/yr
Cap rate
5.93%
Cash-on-cash
-1.29%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-54 ($-652/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $170k (5.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $152k (15.7% below list).
It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $152k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Indianapolis Public Schools (urban): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #286 of 301 in IN (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Frederick Douglass School 19 (math 9% / reading 13%, grade F, #909 of 994 statewide, top 92%, 444 students, 81% FRL); H L Harshman Middle School (math 3% / reading 16%, grade F, #316 of 330 statewide, top 96%, 549 students, 84% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.0%/yr); 131 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,906 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
11 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $48k; list at $180k implies a 279% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 4.4% in Indianapolis city (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NF1N142E5JA239
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29