2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,330 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Townhouse
· Active
· 85 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,549/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$300
HOA
−$393
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$325
Net cashflow
$-412/mo
Annual
$-4,946/yr
Cap rate
3.54%
Cash-on-cash
-9.82%
DSCR
0.56
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $180k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-412 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $120k (33.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $155k (13.9% below list).
It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $120k (33.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#315 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Chippewa Valley Schools (suburban): math 39% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #133 of 540 in MI (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 25% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 259 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 33d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $147k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-NG8ZF42ZKKDGTF
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29