3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,352 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Condo
· Active
· 63 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,331/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,495
Tax + insurance
−$475
HOA
−$350
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$489
Net cashflow
$-478/mo
Annual
$-5,739/yr
Cap rate
4.28%
Cash-on-cash
-7.19%
DSCR
0.68
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$79,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath condo listed at $285k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-478 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $216k (24.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (18.2% below list).
It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $216k (24.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#158 in FL, #2,247 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Destin Elementary School (math 79% / reading 70%, grade A, #230 of 2,144 statewide, top 12%, 976 students, 41% FRL); Fort Walton Beach High School (math 54% / reading 58%, grade C, #131 of 667 statewide, top 20%, 1,620 students, 42% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 1233 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 109d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).
Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.3% vs local median 0.9% in Destin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-NGZVB0C3P109SP
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29