4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,688 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,224/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$811
Tax + insurance
−$258
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$257
Net cashflow
$-102/mo
Annual
$-1,220/yr
Cap rate
5.50%
Cash-on-cash
-2.82%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$43,306
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-102 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $10k).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($10k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $10k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#419 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Sioux Central Community School District (rural): math 68% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #143 of 289 in IA (top 50%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: property tax is 22.1% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 164 units permitted in Buena Vista County in 2024 (71 in 5+ unit buildings).
Buena Vista County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $96k (90%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NJ51V21YBGFANV
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29