2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,345 sqft ·
Built 1995
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 1254 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,357/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$39
Tax + insurance
−$79
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$285
Net cashflow
$954/mo
Annual
$11,446/yr
Cap rate
169.55%
Cash-on-cash
583.04%
DSCR
26.94
1% rule
18.10%
Cash to close
$2,100
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $8k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $954 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $8k).
It's been on market 1254 days — a 12% lower offer ($7k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $7k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $52 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $225 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#446 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Spirit Lake Community School District (town): math 73% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #59 of 289 in IA (top 20%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Spirit Lake Elementary School (math 77% / reading 67%, grade A-, #181 of 616 statewide, top 34%, 537 students, 28% FRL); Spirit Lake Middle School (math 70% / reading 75%, grade A, #90 of 246 statewide, top 38%, 358 students, 24% FRL); Spirit Lake High School (math 77% / reading 87%, grade A, #20 of 336 statewide, top 7%, 409 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools at 25% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 295 units permitted in Dickinson County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dickinson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 1254 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29