2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
890 sqft ·
Built 1950
· Other
· Pending
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$778/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$84
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$163
Net cashflow
$-73/mo
Annual
$-877/yr
Cap rate
5.53%
Cash-on-cash
-2.72%
DSCR
0.88
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-73 ($-877/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $102k (11.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $78k (32.4% below list).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $78k (32.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#131 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Carthage R-IX (town): math 37% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #183 of 324 in MO (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Columbian Elem. (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #910 of 1,115 statewide, top 83%, 379 students, 87% FRL); Carthage Jr. High (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #189 of 391 statewide, top 51%, 752 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 76% FRL vs 56% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 195 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 602 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NJAA95CGEGV076
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29