4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,444 sqft ·
Built 1890
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 83 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,551/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$340
Tax + insurance
−$97
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$326
Net cashflow
$788/mo
Annual
$9,453/yr
Cap rate
20.86%
Cash-on-cash
52.02%
DSCR
3.31
1% rule
2.39%
Cash to close
$18,172
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $788 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $641 of equity ($449 loan paydown + $192 appreciation (0.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#198 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, amenities F.
Richmond R-XVI (town): math 32% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #209 of 324 in MO (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; 56 units permitted in Ray County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ray County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (0.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 20.9% vs local median 3.7% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NJZXJH54S985FB
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29