3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,518 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 92 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,360/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,464
Tax + insurance
−$528
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$916
Net cashflow
$452/mo
Annual
$5,424/yr
Cap rate
7.45%
Cash-on-cash
4.12%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$131,572
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $470k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $452 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $226/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $436k (7.2% below list).
It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($428k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $428k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#27 in VA, #707 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living D, crime D-.
Charlottesville Cty Public School District (urban): math 42% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #97 of 131 in VA (top 74%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Charlottesville High (math 53% / reading 84%, grade B, #178 of 319 statewide, top 56%, 1,359 students, 72% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 50% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Charlottesville Cty Public School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 34 units permitted in Charlottesville city in 2024 (18 in 5+ unit buildings).
Charlottesville County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
13 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask is 27541% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $99k; list at $470k implies a 376% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.9% in Charlottesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29