3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,124 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Active Option Contract
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,400/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$430
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$294
Net cashflow
$73/mo
Annual
$881/yr
Cap rate
7.06%
Cash-on-cash
2.74%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
1.22%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $73 ($881/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#310 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, commute D+.
Mcgregor ISD (town): math 37% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #429 of 826 in TX (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Mcgregor El (math 33% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,709 of 4,322 statewide, top 40%, 454 students, 67% FRL); Isbill J H (math 38% / reading 37%, grade F, #736 of 1,662 statewide, top 45%, 338 students, 63% FRL); Mcgregor H S (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #509 of 1,632 statewide, top 34%, 418 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 63% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price.
Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,014 units permitted in McLennan County in 2024 (200 in 5+ unit buildings).
McLennan County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.4% in McGregor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NK486J1Q9QY738
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29