4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,734 sqft ·
Built 1979
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,643/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,730
Tax + insurance
−$755
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$555
Net cashflow
$-397/mo
Annual
$-4,765/yr
Cap rate
4.85%
Cash-on-cash
-5.16%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$92,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $330k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-397 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $260k (21.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $264k (19.9% below list).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $260k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#233 in NY, #3,674 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
East Greenbush Central School District (suburban): math 68% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #132 of 590 in NY (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Citizen Edmond Genet School (math 69% / reading 65%, grade B+, #525 of 2,108 statewide, top 27%, 466 students, 22% FRL); Howard L Goff School (math 61% / reading 73%, grade A-, #101 of 729 statewide, top 15%, 978 students, 28% FRL); Columbia High School (math 97% / reading 87%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 1,252 students, 27% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents flat; 102 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $221k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 3.0% in East Greenbush — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NKJEG5FMES780F
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29