3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,456 sqft ·
Built 2011
· Manufactured
· Active
· 22 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,418/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$266
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$298
Net cashflow
$15/mo
Annual
$184/yr
Cap rate
6.41%
Cash-on-cash
0.41%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$44,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $15 ($184/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (11.3% below list).
It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $142k (11.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (7.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 51/100 on livability (#508 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
Henry County (rural): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #55 of 129 in AL (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 71 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Henry County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $160k implies a 208% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (7.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 90% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.4% in Eufaula — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NKVYCT027F9WT3
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29