3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,844 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,208/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$170
Tax + insurance
−$78
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$254
Net cashflow
$706/mo
Annual
$8,469/yr
Cap rate
32.35%
Cash-on-cash
93.06%
DSCR
5.14
1% rule
3.72%
Cash to close
$9,100
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $32k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $706 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $32k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($225 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#201 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Salina (rural): math 21% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #173 of 270 in OK (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Mayes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mayes County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (30%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (5.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NM95CV55RDC12C
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29