3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 94 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,534/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$246
Tax + insurance
−$78
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$322
Net cashflow
$887/mo
Annual
$10,648/yr
Cap rate
29.00%
Cash-on-cash
81.08%
DSCR
4.61
1% rule
3.27%
Cash to close
$13,132
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $47k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $887 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $47k).
It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $43k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $98 of equity ($324 loan paydown + $-226 appreciation (-0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,535 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Upper Dauphin Area SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #259 of 539 in PA (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NMFQFR3DW4D9P1
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29