3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,320 sqft ·
Built 1948
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 243 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,227/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$621
Tax + insurance
−$164
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$258
Net cashflow
$184/mo
Annual
$2,210/yr
Cap rate
8.16%
Cash-on-cash
6.66%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$33,180
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $184 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $118k).
It's been on market 243 days — a 12% lower offer ($104k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $104k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $819 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#47 in IA, #1,179 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D-, amenities F.
Burlington Community School District (town): math 42% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #286 of 289 in IA (top 99%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 53 units permitted in Des Moines County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Des Moines County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 243 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NMG3ZP2Y9MSR1P
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29