3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,014 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Townhouse
· Under Contract
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,403/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,018
Tax + insurance
−$304
HOA
−$123
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$505
Net cashflow
$-547/mo
Annual
$-6,560/yr
Cap rate
4.59%
Cash-on-cash
-6.09%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.62%
Cash to close
$107,772
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $385k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-547 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $288k (25.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $240k (37.6% below list).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($373k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $240k (37.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $41k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $38k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#93 in UT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Alpine District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #25 of 80 in UT (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Snow Springs School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade C, #106 of 585 statewide, top 19%, 824 students, 15% FRL); Willowcreek Middle (math 50% / reading 47%, grade C-, #35 of 138 statewide, top 26%, 1,746 students, 13% FRL); Westlake High (math 39% / reading 48%, grade F, #50 of 171 statewide, top 29%, 2,659 students, 12% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents flat; 1187 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,326 units permitted in Utah County in 2024 (1,053 in 5+ unit buildings).
Utah County population projected at +49% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$66k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NN81TQ766AR3WQ
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29