4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,666 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,083/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$205
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$437
Net cashflow
$654/mo
Annual
$7,849/yr
Cap rate
11.53%
Cash-on-cash
18.69%
DSCR
1.83
1% rule
1.39%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $654 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#156 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Harrison School District No. 2 In The County Of El Paso An (urban): math 16% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #67 of 86 in CO (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Oak Creek Elementary School (math 30% / reading 44%, grade F, #399 of 966 statewide, top 42%, 260 students, 65% FRL); Fox Meadow Middle School (math 11% / reading 32%, grade F, #195 of 270 statewide, top 73%, 418 students, 68% FRL); Harrison High School (math 16% / reading 42%, grade F, #253 of 381 statewide, top 66%, 1,179 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 300 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,906 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (872 in 5+ unit buildings).
El Paso County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 4.2% in Stratmoor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NNG80K271V23BY
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29