3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,769 sqft ·
Built 2003
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 148 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,088/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,348
Tax + insurance
−$278
HOA
−$8
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$438
Net cashflow
$16/mo
Annual
$192/yr
Cap rate
6.37%
Cash-on-cash
0.27%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.81%
Cash to close
$71,960
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $257k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $16 ($192/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (18.8% below list).
It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $209k (18.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#18 in SC, #2,436 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
Lexington 05 (suburban): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #5 of 80 in SC (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: River Springs Elementary (math 56% / reading 56%, grade C+, #109 of 597 statewide, top 19%, 465 students, 39% FRL); Dutch Fork Middle (math 39% / reading 52%, grade D+, #46 of 229 statewide, top 20%, 921 students, 57% FRL); Dutch Fork High (math 54% / reading 86%, grade B+, #58 of 196 statewide, top 30%, 1,726 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 49% FRL vs 27% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 316 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 5.0% in Columbia — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29