3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,440 sqft ·
Built 1983
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,700/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,258
Tax + insurance
−$175
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$357
Net cashflow
$-91/mo
Annual
$-1,089/yr
Cap rate
5.84%
Cash-on-cash
-1.62%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$67,186
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-91 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (6.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (29.2% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $170k (29.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#306 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Botetourt County Public School District (rural): math 76% / reading 82% proficiency, ranked #6 of 131 in VA (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Colonial Elementary (math 82% / reading 82%, grade A+, #106 of 1,108 statewide, top 11%, 478 students, 40% FRL); Read Mountain Middle (math 75% / reading 82%, grade A+, #32 of 342 statewide, top 9%, 657 students, 35% FRL); Lord Botetourt High (math 83% / reading 92%, grade A, #15 of 319 statewide, top 4%, 980 students, 27% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+10.5%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 116 units permitted in Botetourt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Botetourt County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NNR7DK6ZMHTA84
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29