3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,326 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 93 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,154/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$117
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$242
Net cashflow
$8/mo
Annual
$94/yr
Cap rate
6.36%
Cash-on-cash
0.22%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $8 ($94/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (23.1% below list).
It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $115k (23.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $1k appreciation (0.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 51/100 on livability (#664 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Rock Creek (rural): math 17% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #225 of 270 in OK (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Rock Creek Es (math 16% / reading 12%, grade F, #640 of 845 statewide, top 76%, 375 students, 0% FRL); Rock Creek Hs (math 30% / reading 30%, grade F, #76 of 447 statewide, top 20%, 125 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 70% district-wide (70 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 176 units permitted in Bryan County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bryan County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $65k; list at $150k implies a 131% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (0.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NPJJRW05BXV9NP
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29