5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,759 sqft ·
Built 1942
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,040/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,389
Tax + insurance
−$597
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$638
Net cashflow
$415/mo
Annual
$4,982/yr
Cap rate
8.17%
Cash-on-cash
6.72%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$74,172
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $415 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $265k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#54 in NY, #811 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-.
Cheektowaga-Maryvale Union Free School District (urban): math 67% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #154 of 590 in NY (top 26%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Zoned schools: Maryvale Primary School (596 students, 43% FRL); Maryvale Middle School (math 42% / reading 74%, grade B, #182 of 729 statewide, top 25%, 478 students, 50% FRL); Maryvale High School (math 98% / reading 87%, grade A+, #158 of 1,100 statewide, top 15%, 615 students, 52% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 209 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $122k; list at $265k implies a 117% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 3.8% in Cheektowaga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,040/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 991% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NPNJ8S92QJYKY7
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29