4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
1,856 sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,958/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$104
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$411
Net cashflow
$709/mo
Annual
$8,511/yr
Cap rate
12.38%
Cash-on-cash
21.73%
DSCR
1.97
1% rule
1.40%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $709 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $355/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#111 in KY, #4,772 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, health & safety F.
Frankfort Independent (town): math 35% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #45 of 165 in KY (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Second Street School (math 30% / reading 38%, grade F, #329 of 676 statewide, top 49%, 571 students, 53% FRL); Frankfort High School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C, #6 of 254 statewide, top 2%, 322 students, 40% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 303 active listings in the ZIP; 123 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Franklin County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $120k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 3.3% in Frankfort — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NPYX76AJDW6WA5
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29