351 Old Centergrove Rd

Kannapolis, NC 28083

$195,900D-

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,030 sqft · Built 1946 · SingleFamily · Pending · 51 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,595/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,027
• Tax + insurance: −$259
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$335
• Net cashflow: $-26/mo
• Annual: $-307/yr
• Cap rate: 6.14%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.56%
• DSCR: 0.98
• 1% rule: 0.81%
• Cash to close: $54,852

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $196k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-26 ($-307/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $191k (2.3% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (18.6% below list).
• It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($190k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $160k (18.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#354 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Kannapolis City Schools (suburban): math 30% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #141 of 178 in NC (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Forest Park Elementary (math 32% / reading 36%, grade F, #882 of 1,410 statewide, top 63%, 444 students, 99% FRL); Kannapolis Middle (math 30% / reading 35%, grade F, #312 of 475 statewide, top 66%, 1,238 students, 100% FRL); A L Brown High (math 25% / reading 30%, grade F, #467 of 535 statewide, top 87%, 1,741 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 63% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,485 units permitted in Cabarrus County in 2024 (677 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Cabarrus County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $45k; list at $196k implies a 335% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.5% in Kannapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.