2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 1963
· Condo
· Active
· 58 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,417/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,411
Tax + insurance
−$448
HOA
−$1,164
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$718
Net cashflow
$-323/mo
Annual
$-3,881/yr
Cap rate
4.85%
Cash-on-cash
-5.15%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
1.27%
Cash to close
$75,320
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $269k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-323 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $269k).
It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $261k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#94 in NY, #1,430 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Greenburgh Central School District (suburban): math 51% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #267 of 590 in NY (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Early Childhood Program (128 students, 0% FRL); Richard J Bailey School (math 45% / reading 53%, grade C-, #294 of 729 statewide, top 41%, 336 students, 0% FRL); Woodlands Middle/High School (math 62% / reading 52%, grade C, #887 of 1,100 statewide, top 82%, 681 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 22% FRL vs 42% district-wide (20 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent.
Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
12 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $225k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-NR8STD43A2A5AE
· Data 14 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29