6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,420 sqft ·
Built 1910
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,795/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,506
Tax + insurance
−$1,028
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,847
Net cashflow
$414/mo
Annual
$4,970/yr
Cap rate
6.77%
Cash-on-cash
1.69%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$294,000
Investor read
This is a 2×2bd/1.0ba + 1×1bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $1.05M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $414 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $138/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $880k (16.2% below list).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.02M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $880k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $50k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $43k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $175k; list at $1.05M implies a 500% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $294k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$81k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NRA12FA455EVN6
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29