9 bd · 5.1 ba ·
5,880 sqft ·
Built 1987
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,812/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,071
Tax + insurance
−$658
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,221
Net cashflow
$1,862/mo
Annual
$22,341/yr
Cap rate
11.95%
Cash-on-cash
20.20%
DSCR
1.90
1% rule
1.47%
Cash to close
$110,600
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.7-bath units multifamily listed at $395k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive. Per door: $621/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $395k).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($389k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $389k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $42k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#174 in NY, #2,710 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, crime F, employment F.
Susquehanna Valley Central School District (rural): math 48% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #330 of 590 in NY (top 56%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).
Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $225k; list at $395k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $111k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$68k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 6.4% in Binghamton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $5,812/mo this rent would consume 105% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 602% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
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