4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,478 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 71 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$11,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$8,391
Tax + insurance
−$1,069
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,415
Net cashflow
$-375/mo
Annual
$-4,499/yr
Cap rate
6.01%
Cash-on-cash
-1.00%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$448,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $1.60M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-375 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $1.53M (4.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.15M (28.1% below list).
It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.50M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.15M (28.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $171k of equity ($11k loan paydown + $160k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in HI, #1,833 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Laie Elementary School (math 66% / reading 64%, grade B+, #17 of 183 statewide, top 9%, 662 students, 52% FRL); Kahuku High & Intermediate School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #30 of 43 statewide, top 76%, 1,319 students, 49% FRL).
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,638 units permitted in Honolulu County in 2024 (793 in 5+ unit buildings).
Honolulu County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
15 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $2.50M (61%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $835k; list at $1.60M implies a 92% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$275k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NRJVATDYW636N0
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29