EAGLE RIVER 35 Oakwood Lake Village Plan

Tunkhannock, PA 18657

$142,500B

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,352 sqft · Built — · Manufactured · Active · 97 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,800/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$747
• Tax + insurance: −$238
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$378
• Net cashflow: $437/mo
• Annual: $5,247/yr
• Cap rate: 9.97%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.15%
• DSCR: 1.59
• 1% rule: 1.26%
• Cash to close: $39,900

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $142k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $437 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $142k).
• It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $130k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-2.6%/yr); year-one equity from $985 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 77/100 on livability (#371 in PA, #3,219 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Tunkhannock Area SD (town): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #397 of 539 in PA (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 33 units permitted in Wyoming County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Wyoming County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 5.1% in Tunkhannock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.