3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
4,270 sqft ·
Built 1997
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,336/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,307
Tax + insurance
−$738
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$281
Net cashflow
$-1,990/mo
Annual
$-23,879/yr
Cap rate
0.86%
Cash-on-cash
-19.39%
DSCR
0.14
1% rule
0.30%
Cash to close
$123,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $440k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-24k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $133k (69.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $134k (69.6% below list).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($427k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $133k (69.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $47k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $44k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#136 in IA, #2,488 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Baxter Community School District (rural): math 71% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #99 of 289 in IA (top 34%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Baxter Elementary School (math 82% / reading 67%, grade A, #131 of 616 statewide, top 27%, 230 students, 27% FRL); Baxter High School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade B+, #117 of 336 statewide, top 39%, 256 students, 30% FRL).
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jasper County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$76k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 70% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NRXY19FW8172YJ
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29