1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1949
· Condo
· Pending
· 360 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,431/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,725
Tax + insurance
−$548
HOA
−$1,182
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$721
Net cashflow
$-745/mo
Annual
$-8,939/yr
Cap rate
3.58%
Cash-on-cash
-9.70%
DSCR
0.57
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$92,120
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $329k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-745 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $329k).
It's been on market 360 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $290k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-0.8%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: HOA is 34% of rent; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.9%/yr); 32 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,431/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 3612% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 360 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29