2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,188 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,585/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$813
Tax + insurance
−$292
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$333
Net cashflow
$147/mo
Annual
$1,758/yr
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.05%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$43,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $147 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#796 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, cost of living A-; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
Gorham-Middlesex Central School District (Marcus Whitman) (rural): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #519 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 284 units permitted in Ontario County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ontario County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NSGCYDB8EGCWYJ
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29