3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 2001
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 297 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,004/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$208
HOA
−$750
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$421
Net cashflow
$-31/mo
Annual
$-373/yr
Cap rate
5.99%
Cash-on-cash
-1.06%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
1.60%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-31 ($-373/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $121k (3.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 297 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#229 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Germantown School District (suburban): math 50% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #52 of 342 in WI (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: HOA is 37% of rent.
Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 453 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (105 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.1% in Germantown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 297 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Siding shows signs of wear and discoloration.
Moderate: Landscaping
— Landscaping appears unkempt and could benefit from trimming and maintenance.
Minor: Interior paint
— Paint appears slightly faded in some areas, but not severely damaged.
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29