12 bd · 14.0 ba ·
2,840 sqft ·
Built 1920
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 59 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,904/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,539
Tax + insurance
−$1,125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,660
Net cashflow
$1,580/mo
Annual
$18,961/yr
Cap rate
9.10%
Cash-on-cash
10.03%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.17%
Cash to close
$188,972
Investor read
This is a 4 × 3-bed/3.5-bath units multifamily listed at $675k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $395/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $675k).
It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($655k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $655k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $20k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#88 in NY, #1,350 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime F.
Troy City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #467 of 590 in NY (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $189k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 5.3% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $7,904/mo this rent would consume 125% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 2698% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NTEMMTCW953A75
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29