30 bd · 25.0 ba ·
2,958 sqft ·
Built 1949
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 190 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$10,660/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$6,293
Tax + insurance
−$2,000
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,239
Net cashflow
$128/mo
Annual
$1,542/yr
Cap rate
6.42%
Cash-on-cash
0.46%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$336,000
Investor read
This is a 3×1bd/1ba + 2×2bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $1.20M. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $128 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $26/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.07M (11.2% below list).
It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.06M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.06M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $31k of equity ($8k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#121 in FL, #1,854 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: crime F.
Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.1%/yr); 731 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $336k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$80k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $10,660/mo this rent would consume 133% of the median local household income ($96k/yr) (locally 927% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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