1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
850 sqft ·
Built 1962
· Condo
· Active
· 103 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,567/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,495
Tax + insurance
−$541
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$539
Net cashflow
$-8/mo
Annual
$-93/yr
Cap rate
6.54%
Cash-on-cash
0.88%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$79,800
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $285k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-8 ($-93/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $284k (0.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (9.9% below list).
It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($259k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $257k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $23k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (7.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 243 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $125k; list at $285k implies a 128% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (7.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $80k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-NV6A05BSF96F55
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29