1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
576 sqft ·
Built 1998
· Condo
· Pending
· 276 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,034/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$339
HOA
−$352
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$427
Net cashflow
$-185/mo
Annual
$-2,226/yr
Cap rate
5.23%
Cash-on-cash
-3.79%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$58,800
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-185 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $177k (15.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $203k (3.1% below list).
It's been on market 276 days — a 12% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $177k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#121 in FL, #1,854 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, commute A; Watch: crime F.
Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Southside Elementary School (math 79% / reading 81%, grade A+, #110 of 2,144 statewide, top 5%, 687 students, 26% FRL); Brookside Middle School (math 62% / reading 55%, grade B, #148 of 571 statewide, top 26%, 745 students, 66% FRL); Sarasota High School (math 53% / reading 59%, grade C, #131 of 667 statewide, top 20%, 2,528 students, 43% FRL) — zoned schools at 45% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.1%/yr); 734 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask is 12253% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $100; list at $210k implies a 209900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 276 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29