3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,512 sqft ·
Built 1962
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 84 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,557/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$572
Tax + insurance
−$182
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$327
Net cashflow
$476/mo
Annual
$5,717/yr
Cap rate
11.54%
Cash-on-cash
18.73%
DSCR
1.83
1% rule
1.43%
Cash to close
$30,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $109k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $476 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $102k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#318 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Joplin Schools (urban): math 30% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #231 of 324 in MO (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Irving Elementary (math 29% / reading 30%, grade F, #813 of 1,115 statewide, top 75%, 527 students, 67% FRL); South Middle (math 40% / reading 48%, grade D, #121 of 391 statewide, top 32%, 573 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.7%/yr); 355 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 602 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 5.1% in Joplin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen floor
— tile flooring in poor condition
Major: bathroom fixtures
— pink fixtures in poor condition
Major: roof
— visible wear
Major: exterior
— dirt and debris around the house
Major: flooring
— wood flooring in need of refinishing
Major: interior walls
— paint peeling
CashFlowRE · CFR-NVK1CME314E5HV
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29