2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
973 sqft ·
Built 1959
· SingleFamily
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,863/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$645
Tax + insurance
−$197
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$391
Net cashflow
$630/mo
Annual
$7,556/yr
Cap rate
12.44%
Cash-on-cash
21.94%
DSCR
1.98
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$34,440
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $123k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $630 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $123k).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $850 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#117 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Circle (rural): math 33% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #28 of 169 in KS (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Circle Greenwich Elementary (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #59 of 684 statewide, top 9%, 332 students, 21% FRL); Circle Middle School (math 17% / reading 33%, grade F, #108 of 219 statewide, top 50%, 303 students, 32% FRL); Circle High (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #105 of 327 statewide, top 49%, 600 students, 31% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 235 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $65k; list at $123k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NW1KP9FCQ5MAA2
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29