3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,080 sqft ·
Built 1933
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 137 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,349/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,048
Tax + insurance
−$333
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$283
Net cashflow
$-316/mo
Annual
$-3,789/yr
Cap rate
4.40%
Cash-on-cash
-6.77%
DSCR
0.70
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$55,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-316 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $154k (22.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (32.5% below list).
It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $135k (32.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#209 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
Bedford County Public School District (rural): math 55% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #41 of 131 in VA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Big Island Elementary (math 74% / reading 74%, grade A, #220 of 1,108 statewide, top 22%, 149 students, 69% FRL); Liberty Middle (math 49% / reading 67%, grade B, #174 of 342 statewide, top 51%, 535 students, 86% FRL); Liberty High (math 41% / reading 68%, grade C-, #281 of 319 statewide, top 90%, 726 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 30% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1933 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in Bedford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bedford County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $29k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1933 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NWCYAN51W5NNJA
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29