1 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,178 sqft ·
Built 1965
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 60 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$992/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$152
Tax + insurance
−$102
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$208
Net cashflow
$530/mo
Annual
$6,362/yr
Cap rate
28.31%
Cash-on-cash
78.63%
DSCR
4.50
1% rule
3.43%
Cash to close
$8,092
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $29k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $530 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($992 rent vs $29k).
It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($28k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $28k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $200 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $867 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#344 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Carbondale Chsd 165 (urban): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #279 of 620 in IL (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NWGDMNEFZHEH40
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29