2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,169 sqft ·
Built 2006
· Condo
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,599/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$236
Tax + insurance
−$75
HOA
−$783
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$546
Net cashflow
$959/mo
Annual
$11,509/yr
Cap rate
31.87%
Cash-on-cash
91.34%
DSCR
5.06
1% rule
5.78%
Cash to close
$12,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $45k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $959 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $45k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#9 in NM, #4,641 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F.
Santa Fe Public Schools (urban): math 34% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #6 of 29 in NM (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 240 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 244 units permitted in Santa Fe County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 31.9% vs local median 2.4% in Santa Fe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-NWJGGR9V1077GY
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29